When Should You Move a 529 Plan to Cash?

One of the most overlooked risks in college planning isn’t market volatility.

It’s timeline mismatch.

Many 529 accounts are invested aggressively for years - which makes sense during the accumulation phase. But as college approaches, the objective shifts.

And when the objective shifts, the portfolio should too.

A 529 Plan Has Two Phases

Phase 1: Accumulation

  • Long time horizon

  • Growth-focused

  • Able to absorb volatility

  • Equity heavy allocations are appropriate

Phase 2: Distribution

  • Tuition bills have fixed due dates

  • Withdrawals begin

  • Recovery time shrinks

  • Volatility becomes risk

The mistake many families make is staying in Phase 1 allocations while entering Phase 2 in reality.

Why Market Returns Matter Less Near College

As college approaches, the question is no longer: “How do we maximize return?”

It becomes: “How do we ensure this money is there when needed?”

Over short windows - 1 to 5 years - equity markets can produce meaningful swings. A 15 - 20% drawdown is entirely possible within a year.

When tuition is due, recovery time is limited.

This is called sequence of returns risk - and it matters more in distribution than accumulation.

Risk Should Match Time Horizon

Risk is not inherently good or bad.

It is appropriate when:

  • Time horizon is long

  • Growth is necessary to meet goals

It becomes misaligned when:

  • Funds are needed on a fixed schedule

  • The goal is already within reach

  • Volatility introduces unnecessary stress

As the time horizon shortens, capital preservation becomes more valuable than incremental return.

A Structured Approach to 529 Allocations

There is no single “correct” allocation.

There is only the allocation that aligns with:

  • Timeline

  • Funding level

  • Risk tolerance

  • Emotional comfort

If you’re planning for college and want help starting a 529 plan or evaluate your current allocation, you can book an 80-minute Portfolio Review.

$285 | Focused | Scenario-Based | No product sales

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